This week, The Guardian published a report about the World Cup 2014, and affirmed that FIFA and CBF chose too many cities to host games (twelve), and the criteria utilized were not the best; a consequence of those bad choices will be that stadiums will be left unused after the event.
The Guardian said nothing new: the Financial Times had already said that the stadiums would become white elephants; it is well known that FIFA and CBF make decisions based largely on financial and political criteria; the twelve host cities were too many and not the best ones.
So, which Brazilian cities should be chosen to host games in 2014, if the main criterium was number of popular teams (i.e., number of fans which actually would attend games, even after the Cup 2014 is finished)?
The city of Sao Paulo has three very popular teams: Corinthians, Sao Paulo and Palmeiras (which just announced that the new Arena Palestra Italia will be ready in 2012). There are several other large cities in the State of Sao Paulo where there are competitive teams: Santos, Santo Andre, Sao Caetano, Campinas (with two important teams: Ponte Preta and Guarani), Presidente Prudente and a few others.
All above mentioned teams have participated of the Top Division of Brazil National Championship (several teams have won it), and any of those cities could build and use a 40,000 seat stadium. So, it wouldn’t be a bad idea to designate two or even three cities in Sao Paulo as host cities of 2014.
Next, there is Rio de Janeiro. All the major teams are concentrated in the capital city: Flamengo (by far, the team with most fans in Brazil), Fluminense, Vasco da Gama and Botafogo; none of these teams, however, has a big stadium, and until a few years ago all major matches were staged at Maracanã.
For the Pan American Games 2007, the Government of Rio built a brand new stadium, the Joao Havelange; after the Games, the stadium was rented by Botafogo, and today it stages several important matches.
So, it would be very reasonable to nominate both Maracanã and João Havelange as venues of the World Cup 2014.
In Belo Horizonte there are two very powerful teams, Atletico MG and Cruzeiro, and a third popular team, America MG. All of them play at Mineirao, so it makes all sense to refurbish that stadium for the Cup.
In Porto Alegre, a unique situation. There are two equally very strong and very popular teams, Gremio and Internacional (both won the World Tournament of Clubs). Both have their own big private stadiums, namely Olimpico (the new Arena Gremio is in progress) and Beira-Rio.
CBF chose Beira-Rio as the only venue in Porto Alegre (much to the chagrin of Gremio fans), but it wouldn’t be a bad idea to appoint two venues in that city. This idea makes even more sense if one remembers that the State of Rio Grande do Sul (of which Porto Alegre is the capital) makes borders with Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay, which are already used to visiting the city in the holidays.
In Curitiba, there are three dominant teams: Atletico PR, Coritiba and Paraná. Atlético PR owns their own stadium, Arena da Baixada, which was the venue chosen in the State.
In Salvador, an easy decision for CBF: there are only two very popular teams, Vitoria and Bahia, and none has a big stadium. So, the venue chosen was Fonte Nova, which belongs to the city of Salvador.
In Recife, probably the toughest decision of all. The city has three popular teams, Sport, Santa Cruz and Nautico (the supremacy among them changes over the decades, there has never been a permanent dominance), and all of them have their own private stadiums (Ilha do Retiro, Arruda and Aflitos). As the fans are fanatic supporters not only of the teams, but of the stadiums as well, it was certain that the city would be a host, but nobody knew which stadium would the venue.
The Government of Pernambuco decided to build a new stadium. As real estate in Recife and neighbour Olinda is very expensive, this new stadium called City of the Cup (actually, a Business Complex including the stadium, shopping centers, hotels, etc) in the small city of Sao Lourenço da Mata. Money will be needed not only to build the stadium, but to create all the infrastructure around it (there are plans to expand the metro line and create new highways).
Now, if there is a candidate to White Elephant of 2014, City of the Cup is it. Not only because it is far away from the city, or because tickets will probably be more expensive there. The reason is that none of the three clubs will stop playing at their own stadiums to go playing at the Government stadium – the President of Nautico would be fired if he agreed to play in Sao Lourenço when Sport kept playing at his home Ilha do Retiro.
The best solution in Recife would be to reach an agreement among the teams (with a draw, if necessary) to choose one stadium to be the venue.
In Fortaleza there are two teams, Ceara and Fortaleza. Both have only occasional appearance in the Top National Division (Ceara is there in 2010, Fortaleza was in 2009), but even the local championships are very disputed, and the fans are very enthusiastic. So, it made sense to choose Fortaleza as host (the city is by the beach, and is close to Europe and USA) and the public stadium Castelão as venue.
So, if CBF had chosen these ten venues in these eight cities, there would be good chances that the stadiums would be well attended after the World Cup 2014 is over.
Continue here: the White Elephants of the FIFA WC 2014.