Messi and the chances of Argentina in 2010
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December 1st, 2009
Lionel Messi, from Argentina, who plays currently in Barcelona, was elected by French magazine France Football the best football player of 2009; Messi won by the widest margin ever (473 of a total of 480), leaving Cristiano Ronaldo in second place and Xavi in third.
How does this winning relate to the chances of Argentina? Let’s take a look at past editions of the World Cup to try to find a correlation.
In 1993, FIFA player of the year was Italian Roberto Baggio. Baggio was certainly the most important player of the Italian team which finished runner-up in the 1994 World Cup.
In 1997, best player was Ronaldo (still active, but won’t be in the Brazil team 2010). In 1998, Ronaldo was the star of the Brazilian team, but had just average performance, and suffered an until today unexplained breakdown right before the final match, against France.
In 2001, best player was Portuguese Luís Figo. Much thanks to Figo, Portugal was one of the favorites to win the Cup 2002. However, Portugal was probably the greatest failure, finishing the event in 21st.
In 2005, best player was Ronaldinho (another one who won’t go to South Africa). Brazil was the absolute favorite to win in 2006. Ronaldinho and the entire team under performed, and Brazil lost.
So, there is not much correlation between a country having the best player in the World and winning the World Cup. Add to this that Messi hasn’t been showing in the Argentina team the same excellent performance he has in Barcelona (newspapers from Argentina wonders why doesn’t Messi perform in the national team?).
Now, another comparison can be made. In 1982, Argentina had hopes in a young player, Maradona, who failed; in 1986, the same Maradona, practically alone, led Argentina to the championship. In 2006, Argentina had hopes in a young player, Messi, who failed; Messi in 2010 aspires to become a new Maradona.
The movie below compares goals by Messi and Maradona.
